v1.14.0Skill-aware pistol prior
- Pistol Bayesian prior now blends a roster-rating-derived skill edge into each team-side anchor
- Adaptive prior strength — large skill gap shrinks the prior, lets data refine more
- Banner chip
SKILL · Vitality +6pp with full rating breakdown
- Configurable via
useSkillPistolPrior, skillToPistolCoef, skillToPistolCap
v1.13.0TRUST tier · banned fade · Cloudflare recovery
- TRUST tier composite replaces the CI-only conviction pill — 🟢 / 🟡 / 🚫 dominates the card
- Inline reason list on yellow/red cards:
n=2/8 · asym opp Δ47 · wide CI 17pp
- Banned maps fade-collapse into a
+ Show N banned maps section
- Cloudflare block recovery banner with one-click open-and-verify flow; backoff bumped to 1500/4000/10000ms
- Browser-like headers +
credentials: 'include' on every fetch site
- Copy All button removed (use click-to-copy on individual numbers)
v1.12.0Stratified Tier 1 / Rest priors
- Map asym + pistol priors split by tier — TIER 1 active when both teams rank ≤ 30, REST otherwise
- Two-column Priors editor; legacy flat caches migrate transparently into Rest
- Per-card T1 / REST pill, banner on Asym + Pistols tabs names the active tier
v1.11.0Tier reconciliation + map W/L reality check
- Both teams always fetched at the same tier; widen together if either sample is too small
- Map W/L reality check flags when asym contradicts recent map history (red
⚠ HIST pill)
v1.10.xSpread guard + pistol band overlay
- Spread guard caps |asym1 − asym2| at 5pp for pricing-engine stability
- Pistol asym band overlay mirrors oddin.gg prematch tier guidance (flag-only, no auto-modify)
v1.9.0Pistol asym v2
- Beta-Binomial posterior, inverse-variance weighted combine, opp-quality Elo normalization, map-specific pistol priors
- 90% credible interval display, low-conf visual indicator on wide CI
v1.6 — v1.8Player-level extensions + Deep dive + roster shift
- Roster preview in team banner (avg Rating + star player) — zero fetches
- Deep dive button fetches 10 players per map, applies per-map roster shift to asym
- Elo-adjusted roster shift with 3-layer confidence (sample × opp quality × symmetry), capped ±3pp
v1.0 — v1.5Foundation
- Trader Edition baseline — 4 tabs (CT/T · ASYM · HEAT · FORM), tier-stratified fetch, dual ranking (HLTV / VRS)
- Manual veto editor, FTU consistency check, pistol asym + odds ladder, 5-state classifier